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Productive Digital Transformation Simulator (SimTDP)
The problem we address
Productive digitalization policies are often designed with partial information and without tools to anticipate their effects. Technology adoption is not linear: it depends on complex interactions between productive structure, human capabilities, digital infrastructure, and institutions. Without adequate models, it is difficult to prioritize investments, evaluate policies ex-ante, or understand sectoral impacts.
What do we do?
We developed the Productive Digital Transformation Simulator (SimTDP), an analytical tool that allows for simulating technology adoption scenarios and evaluating the impact of different public policies on productivity, employment, and inclusion.
How do we do it?
The SimTDP is based on complex systems theory and economic complexity methodologies, using information on digital adoption patterns and productive performance to identify the “revealed” digital capabilities of sectors. The model simulates technology diffusion by considering network effects, complementarities, and sectoral heterogeneity. It allows for comparing scenarios with and without public intervention, supporting the design of national strategies, the ex-ante evaluation of programs, and the prioritization of digital infrastructure investments.
Productive Digital Transformation
Simulator — SimTDP
An evidence-based tool for the analysis, experimentation, and co-creation of public policies for Latin America.
SimTDP Platform
Access the platform to explore productive digitalization scenarios, compare public policies, and interact with the simulation model.
Productive Digital Transformation (PDT) Planning Process
SimTDP operates through an iterative cycle of three interconnected stages, guiding from diagnosis to impact evaluation of productive digitalization policies.
Digital Proximity Network
Digital Space Visualization: a network of interconnected productive sectors based on their revealed digital capabilities. Size indicates Digital Complexity; color indicates Digital Distance from the global average.
Key Impact Indicators
Main outcome variables that SimTDP models when comparing scenarios with and without public intervention.
The problem we address
Productive digitalization policies are often designed with partial information and without tools to anticipate their effects. Technology adoption is not linear: it depends on complex interactions between productive structure, human capabilities, digital infrastructure, and institutions. Without adequate models, it is difficult to prioritize investments, evaluate policies ex-ante, or understand sectoral impacts.
What do we do?
We developed the Productive Digital Transformation Simulator (SimTDP), an analytical tool that allows for simulating technology adoption scenarios and evaluating the impact of different public policies on productivity, employment, and inclusion.
How do we do it?
The SimTDP is based on complex systems theory and economic complexity methodologies, using information on digital adoption patterns and productive performance to identify the “revealed” digital capabilities of sectors. The model simulates technology diffusion by considering network effects, complementarities, and sectoral heterogeneity, and allows for comparing scenarios with and without public intervention, supporting the design of national strategies, the ex-ante evaluation of programs, and the prioritization of digital infrastructure investments.
